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<title>Activity: Averages Brain-Teaser</title>
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<h1 class="center">Activity: Averages Brain-Teaser</h1>
<p>Here is a little puzzle about <a href="../mean.html">averages</a>. Is it right?</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<div class="example">
<h3>Who is Better at Kicking Goals?</h3>
<p style="float:right; margin: 0 0 5px 10px;"><img src="../images/soccer-teams.jpg" alt="soccer teams" height="86" width="209"></p>
<p>At practice last week:</p>
<ul>
<li>You scored 2 of 10 shots at goal</li>
<li>Sam scored 3 of 10 shots</li>
</ul>
<p>Sam is better!</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>This week:</p>
<ul>
<li>You scored 53 of 100 shots</li>
<li>Sam scored 6 of 10 shots</li>
</ul>
<p>Sam is still better.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>But let's <b>add up the scores for BOTH weeks</b>:</p>
<ul>
<li>You scored 55 of 110 shots: that is 50%</li>
<li>Sam scored 9 of 20 shots: that is only 45%</li>
</ul>
<p>Hang on! YOU are better!</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Sam was better last week and this week ... but you are better over both weeks?</p>
</div>
<p>Please explain.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>...</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Make a table with all the data and do the calculations yourself</p>
<table align="center" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="4" border="1">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td style="text-align:right;">&nbsp;</td>
<td align="center" width="200">Sam</td>
<td align="center" width="200">You</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="right" height="60">Last Week</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="right" height="60">This Week</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="right" height="60"><b>Both Weeks</b></td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>....</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><b>... read on after you have thought about it ...</b></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>...</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<div class="example">
<h3>It is All True</h3>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Because you had SO MANY shots at goal this week, and did well at them, you lifted your two-week average above Sam's.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>At practice last week:</p>
<ul>
<li>You scored 2 of 10 (<b>20%</b>)</li>
<li>Sam scored 3 of 10 (<b>30%</b>)</li>
</ul>
<p>This week:</p>
<ul>
<li><span class="hilite">You scored 53 of 100 (<b>53%</b>)</span></li>
<li>Sam scored 6 of 10 (<b>60%</b>)</li>
</ul>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>For BOTH weeks:</p>
<ul>
<li>You scored 55 of 110 (<b>50%</b>)</li>
<li>Sam scored 9 of 20 (<b>45%</b>)</li>
</ul>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</div>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>To be fair, we should really compare the averages when your and Sam's attempts at goal is roughly the same.</p>
<p>If Sam had attempted 100 shots this week, he may have scored 60 out of 100, and his two-week average would have been about <b>57%</b>, better than you.</p>
<p>So be careful when comparing two sets of data with widely different counts.</p>
<p class="info">&nbsp;This is an example of "Simpson's paradox" if you want to find out more.</p>
<p><i><br></i></p>
<p><i>Note: only certain sets of data produce this "paradox", usually everything makes sense.</i></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<div class="related">
<a href="../data/index.html">Data Index</a>
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