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<title>Solution to Average Number of Arms</title>
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<h1 class="center">Average Number of Arms</h1>
<h3>What is the <b>probability</b> that the next person you meet has an <b>above average</b> number of arms?</h3>
<h4 align="center">Is it: </h4>
<div class="center">
<div class="boxa">Impossible </div>
<div class="boxa">Unlikely </div>
<div class="boxa">Likely </div>
<div class="boxa">Very Likely </div>
<div class="boxa">Certain</div></div>
<h2>Solution</h2>
<p>Let's imagine a small town of 2,000 people. </p>
<p>Now let's say one
of them only has one arm. </p>
<p align="center"><b>So the total number of arms is 3,999.</b> </p>
<p>The average number of arms per person is: </p>
<p class="center larger"><span class="intbl"><em>number of arms</em><strong>number of people</strong></span> = <span class="intbl"><em>3,999</em><strong>2,000</strong></span> = <b>1.9995</b></p>
<p>So <b>2</b> is above average!</p>
<p>We can now see that 1,999 of the people in our small town have
an above average number of arms. They have 2 arms and the average
is 1.9995. </p>
<p>If we meet one person at random from our small town, 1,999 out of
2,000 will have an above average number of arms. </p>
<p>The probability of meeting one of these people is 1,999 out of 2,000.
This can be expressed as:</p>
<p class="center larger"><span class="intbl"><em>1,999</em><strong>2,000</strong></span> = <b>0.9995</b></p>
<p>If the probability was <b>1.0</b> it would be certain that the next person
we meet would have an above average number of arms. It is not <b>1.0</b> but it is close. So we can say that it is:</p>
<p>
<center>
<span class="largest">Very Likely</span> that the
next person we meet will have an above average number of arms.
</center>
</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Not quite what you expected, hey? <br />
<br />
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